Connect with us

Politics

Boris Johnson could lose own seat as pollster warns Tories over cost of living 'headache'

Published

on

[ad_1]

The Tory Party would lose its majority in the House of Commons if a general election was held tomorrow, according to a new MRP survey conducted by Survation for campaign group 38 Degrees. A total of 92 Conservative MPs would lose their seats as Labour would emerge as the largest party in the UK for the first time since 2005.

Despite making significant gains from Jeremy Corbyn’s disastrous campaign in 2019, the Labour Party would fall well short of obtaining a majority in Parliament.

The MRP poll put Labour’s estimated seats at 293 and the Conservatives on just 273.

Boris Johnson, who returned to the Commons in 2019 with an enlarged majority of 7,210, also appears set to lose his seat in Uxbridge & South Ruislip after Labour opened up a nine-point lead in the west London constituency.

Analysis indicates Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has mounted a strong charge among Brits aged 50 to 64.

Mr Johnson’s lead with the key demographic has been overturned since 2019, when YouGov put the Conservative lead at 23 percent, with Labour opening up a two-point lead.

News of the survey comes just hours before Chancellor Rishi Sunak’s spring statement.

JUST IN: Rishi Sunak set to announce £50BN triple tax hike costing British adults £1,000 per year

Mr Sunak is currently facing the challenge of helping Brits through the cost of living crisis, which looks set to see inflation hit seven percent and average energy bills increase by £693.

Survation’s research also highlighted how the cost of living had already impacted Brits, with almost three-in-four respondents saying energy bills are higher and 55 percent adding they are paying more for transport than last year.

In a blow for the Prime Minister, the poll suggested Red Wall voters had reported the worst impacts of the energy crisis.

Ellie Gellard, Director of Strategy at 38 Degrees, called on the Treasury to act to help Brits struggling.

She said: “The country is crying out for help with this catastrophic cost of living crisis.

“People are struggling at home with crippling energy bills – and struggling to leave, with higher transport costs and the shocking price of fuel at the pumps.

READ MORE: ‘New punchbag!’ Arch-Remainer convinced Brexiteers hate Nazanin following safe UK return

“Second, cuts in state support are more of a problem for working class voters who the Conservatives might want to appeal to on cultural issues.

“Third, the increases in energy costs are so big that they’re a problem for just about everyone.

“You can’t have a major increase in the cost of living for 80 percent of the population and not expect the governing party to pay some kind of price for that.”

Survation and 38 Degrees conducted two separate polling research exercises.

The first included 2,034 respondents and was based on Tory sleaze allegations and the cost of living crisis.

Fieldwork for the first exercise was carried out between March 4 and March 7.

The second included the MRP analysis, which was conducted over three waves between November 11 and March 7.

The total sample size of the second exercise stood at 8,002.



[ad_2]

Politics

'Have to kick the pedal to the metal' Ex-Ukrainian leader slams Macron tank aide hesitancy

Published

on

[ad_1]

Ex-Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk sat down on LBC Radio to discuss NATO leaders. NATO has been allying themselves with Ukraine, sending help and weaponry and taking fleeing Ukrainian refugees. NATO members held a conference on the Russian invasion earlier this week to discuss more ways to help Ukraine.

Mr Yatsenyuk pushed for Macron to send over military tanks as promised, slamming him for dragging his feet, and claiming that the war in Ukraine affects the security of every European country.

Mr Yatsenyuk said: “That’s what Putin is closely watching, as for now, Putin didn’t expect this kind of unity and consolidated and concerted actions against the Russian federation.

“But you know, the time is running and we don’t have enough time to wait until some EU member states decide to supply more weapons to Ukraine.

“Or to impose tougher and stronger sanctions on the Russian Federation, so the EU has to be decisive and they have to speed up the process of new sanctions.

“And the shipment and delivery of weapons to Ukraine, because it’s not just about Ukraina and they realise it clearly, this is about the free world.

“And this is about the security of every single nation in the European Union, so the French have to kick the pedal to the metal.”

JUST IN: Putin’s ‘biggest’ Achilles’ heel exposed as ‘derided’ Russian despot facing furious REVOLT

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky explained this week that he expected “serious steps” from Western-allied countries.

Mr Zelensky repeated the calls for a no-fly zone over Ukraine to be imposed by NATO forces and complained that the Western allies had not yet provided Ukraine with sufficient planes, up to date modern anti-missile systems, tanks or anti-ship weapons.

Mr Zelensky added: “At these three summits we will see who is our friend, who is our partner and who sold us out and betrayed us.”

President Zelensky also expressed that he was grateful for the support Ukraine was continuing to receive from individual NATO member countries from around the world.

Mr Zelensky added: “But NATO has yet to show what the alliance can do to save people,” he said. “It feels like we’re in the grey zone between the West and Russia, but we’re protecting all our and your shared values.

READ MORE:Mum left fuming after letter describes her ‘active’ four-year-old daughter as overweight

Mr Johnson added: “We’ve got to tighten the economic vice around Putin, sanctioning more people today, as we are, sanctioning the Wagner Group, looking at what we can do to stop Putin using his gold reserves, and also doing more to help the Ukrainians defend themselves.”

Foreign Secretary Liz Truss has been playing an active role in trying to de-escalate the war with Russia by imposing tight sanctions on Russia to try and stop Putin’s warpath of destruction.

Ms Truss has warned that infighting between NATO countries at the moment could be highly detrimental for progress in ending the war.

Mr Truss said: “Russia’s targeting of critical national infrastructure is calculated and dangerous.

“It shows Putin is prepared to risk lives to sow division and confusion among allies.”



[ad_2]

Continue Reading

Politics

Brexit news: What happens when Article 16 is triggered?

Published

on

[ad_1]

After Britain’s exit from the European Union (EU) was confirmed, the two parties have been attempting to renegotiate terms for a special Brexit deal relating to Northern Ireland. Coined the Northern Ireland protocol it’s been a point of contention that’s led to threats from each side of triggering a mechanism called Article 16. But what is it?

What is Article 16?

The UK and EU agreed to the creation of the Northern Ireland protocol, in October 2019.

By allowing goods to flow freely between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland the deal removed the threat of a hard border.

But the arrangement has also resulted in what’s been labelled as an ‘Irish Sea border’.

READ MORE: ‘Totally undeniable’ MPs colluded with Remainers to try stop Brexit

Goods that now arrive into Northern Ireland from the rest of the UK are subjected to more stringent checks and controls.

In the scenario that either the UK or EU feel that the protocol is leading to significant issues or hampering their capacity to trade, then they have the option of activating Article 16.

The component sets out the process for taking unilateral “safeguard” measures, which in reality would amount to suspending parts of the deal.

Specifically, Article 16 says safeguard measures can be taken if the protocol is leading to serious “economic, societal or environmental difficulties” that are liable to persist.

He said: “Triggering Article 16 now would severely disrupt the unity of the UK and EU response to the war in Ukraine.

“It is thus perhaps not surprising that key US figures chose this week to restate that any uncertainty around the stability of the Good Friday Agreement would hinder a future UK-US trade deal.”

In recent months talks between Foreign Secretary Liz Truss and her EU counterpart Maros Sefcovic have stalled, leading to calls from Brexiteers for the UK to act.

However, Professor Menon cautioned that triggering Article 16 won’t “rid” Britain of the protocol.

He added: “I think the British Government if it triggers Article 16 will do something relatively small and contained.

“And then there’s not a massive bust-up. You don’t end up getting rid of the protocol. You end up with months if not years of negotiations, mediation and arbitration.

“So, it’s a way of doing something but it’s not a way of solving anything. In a sense you’re still stuck with the protocol and you’re still negotiating about the future of the protocol.”

In essence, were Article 16 to be triggered it wouldn’t have a huge impact on the ground.

Many of the checks on goods flowing from Britain to Northern Ireland have already been unilaterally suspended.

Triggering the mechanism itself would only start a formal dispute process that requires both sides to go into talks to resolve.



[ad_2]

Continue Reading

Politics

NATO slammed as former US Army chief exposes ‘two big issues’ in united Russia response

Published

on

[ad_1]

US Army vice chief of staff general Jack Keane, sat down on LBC radio to talk about the NATO conference which took place earlier this week. Mr Keane discussed the possibility that Putin could deploy chemical biological weapons on the battlefield. Russian President Vladimir Putin has already used the highly condemned thermobaric weapons since the war started just over a month ago.

The US Army chief acknowledged there had been no public policy declaration on the consequences Putin would face if he was to take such a barbaric action.

Mr Keane said: “Listen I was very disappointed by the NATO summit.

“I totally applaud the fact that they’re going to increase by 40k troops in Eastern Europe.

“And they’re increasing sanctions and it seems like a sense of unity.

“But on two big issues, it’s got to be disappointing, there’s no NATO public policy declaration.

JUST IN: Putin’s ‘biggest’ Achilles’ heel exposed as ‘derided’ Russian despot facing furious REVOLT

Mr Keane added: “At the end of that summit to deal with this particular issue, chemical biological weapons and nuclear weapons which the Russians have been waving in front of our face now for almost 30 days.

“What we need is… Think policy statement, not something that’s left to a reporter to ask a question on.

“And then you get a statement that you just repeated, which leads to more confirmation than anything else.

“A much better statement, using my words… I don’t want to put words into other people’s mouths.

READ MORE: Mum left fuming after letter describes her ‘active’ four-year-old daughter as overweight

“But with me, the use of any form of WMB would be unacceptable.

“We will not let it stand, it will result in decisive consequential actions and all options are on the table.

“Words to that effect, in a public policy statement, and we didn’t get it and it’s really unfortunate.

“And what it does it leaves in the minds of Putin and his  leaders just what would the reaction be, ambiguous like that and I think it’s very unfortunate.”

DON’T MISS: Russia scaling back invasion as troops retreat to eastern Ukraine after weeks of stalemate

Fear of the Russian military deploying chemical biological weapons has been heightened.

Ukrainian outlet InformNapalm has warned that: “Our conclusions may sound premature or too apocalyptic, but after the missile attacks and bombing of civilian infrastructure in Ukraine, which the Russian army resorted to, we believe that it is necessary to make these data public and try to thwart any such intentions of Russia.”

And NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said in Brussels on Thursday: “We’ve tried to be very clear about the gravity of the use of any such chemical weapons.

“These are agents that should never be employed and certainly not on the battlefield, as we are concerned Russia might.”



[ad_2]

Continue Reading

Trending