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Russia-Ukraine crisis: Putin to jeopardise own position with 'indefensible' invasion




Dr Joanna Szostek, lecturer in Political Communication at the University of Glasgow explained that if Vladimir Putin decided to invade and attack Russia the financial cost for the country would be “enormous.” She noted that a bloody war with casualties would be “indefensible, even to the Russian population,” because of the large number of Russian nationals having relatives in Ukraine. British Foreign Secretary, Liz Truss held an urgent Cobra meeting to discuss the possibility of a Russian invasion within the next 48 hours, as tensions are reaching a boiling point between the two countries.

Dr Szostek told LBC: “I think the cost of actually invading for Russia would be enormous.

“Many different kinds of costs, thinking first of all about the casualties because we can say that yes, militarily Russia is still very much stronger than Ukraine.

“However many arms the West is able to provide and support, but at the same time Ukraine would fight back in a way that would be very costly for Russia.

“I think here it’s also important to remember that so many Russians have family members in Ukraine, so many Ukrainians have family members in Russia.

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Dr Szostek added: “So launching a war in Ukraine, an invasion that involved Russians and Ukrainians, shooting each other and killing each other, there’s no way I can see for the Russian Government to legitimise that in the eyes of its own population.

“The forces that they sent to Eastern Ukraine so far and the casualties that Michael mentioned there, I mean the Russian Government have managed to shift the blame for that. 

“You know they blame civil war in Ukraine, They blame Ukrainian Government and so on.

“But if you see all these amassed Russian tanks and Russian forces, making their way into the rest of Ukraine killing and causing casualties on that level, I mean it would be indefensible, even to the Russian population.

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Dr Szostek added: “So yeah, just on that level alone the cost of invasion would be huge and that’s even before you get to the aspect of economic sanctions and everything else that Western leaders have been talking about recently.

“So, yeah the threat is useful to them, I think it puts their issues on the agenda… the invasion, yeah, I can’t see the logic from a Russian perspective at all.”

Putin has placed 130,000 Russian troops around- the Ukrainian border, and Western leaders have called for their citizens to return from Ukraine as they warn an invasion could be imminent.

Foreign Secretary Liz Truss has been scrambling to have phone calls and meetings with her Russian counterparts to calm down the situation and to impose tougher sanctions on Russia in order to deter them from conflict.


Ms Truss said: “Today I chaired a COBR meeting on the serious Russian threat to Ukraine.

“Latest information suggests Russia could invade at any moment and we urge the Kremlin to deescalate.

“Our focus is on prioritising the safety and security of British nationals in Ukraine.”

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken also echoed a similar sentiment, announcing that America would be moving all of their US diplomats out of their embassy in Kyiv, due to the tense situation.

Mr Blinken said: “I have no higher priority than the safety and security of Americans around the world, and that, of course, includes our colleagues serving at our posts overseas.

“My team and I constantly review the security situation to determine when prudence dictates a change in posture.

“With that in mind, we are in the process of temporarily relocating our Embassy operations in Ukraine from our Embassy in Kyiv to Lviv due to the dramatic acceleration in the buildup of Russian forces.

“The Embassy will remain engaged with the Ukrainian government, coordinating diplomatic engagement in Ukraine.

“We are also continuing our intensive diplomatic efforts to deescalate the crisis.

“These prudent precautions in no way undermine our support for or our commitment to Ukraine.”



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'This is huge' Swedish Air Force jet deployed over Belarus border in threat to Putin




The Scandinavian country is not a member of NATO, but could be ready to trade in its neutral status in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

News of Stockholm’s decision to send a jet was revealed by twitter user Jamming.

They wrote: “Swedish Air Force Korpen active over Poland border area with Belarus.

“Sweden part of surveillance of Belarus and Ukraine!!!

“This is a huge political statement! Update on SwAF Korpen.”


The Gulfstream IV aircraft was tracked taking off from Linking airport and then flying towards the city of Grodno in western Belarus.

It was flying at an altitude of just under 12,000 metres at a speed of 836 kilometres per hour.

Although Sweden is not a NATO member, it is an “enhanced opportunity partner” of the military alliance.

The government also signed a statement in 2018 pledging to strengthen its defence cooperation.

Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson rejected calls by opposition parties earlier this month for the country to join NATO.

She argued that such a move would further destabilise Europe.

Her statement came in the wake of threats from Moscow that NATO membership would bring “serious military-political consequences” for Sweden.

However, there is growing public support among Swedes for their country to join the transatlantic military alliance.

A poll conducted in late February by broadcaster SVT found that 41 percent of the public supported NATO membership, while thirty-five percent were against.

It was the first time an opinion study in Sweden had found more people in favour of the country joining NATO than were against it.



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Putin humiliated: Russia tries and fails to capture defiant Ukraine village for tenth time




Russia has tried and failed to capture the village of the Chornobaevka ten times, according to Ukrainian presidential adviser Aleksey Arestovich. Videos shared by Ukrainian officials online showed the “tenth defeat of the Russian invaders in Chornobaevka”. The continued failures to capture the village comes as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said last night that his country’s forces had “dealt powerful blows” to the Russian military.

Mr Arestovich told a press conference that Russian troops had tried to take Chornobaevka for the tenth time, but the assault again ended in failure.

Following this, the head of the nearby Mykolaiv Regional State Administration Vitaly Kim published a video showing “the defeat” as explosions erupt on the outskirts of the village.

The resolute village has become famous in Ukraine for its defence, as President Zelensky commended Chornobaivka last weekend for fending off six invasions at the time.

He said: “Ukrainian Chornobaivka will go down in war history. This is a place where the Russian military and their commanders have shown themselves for who they truly are – incompetent, capable of simply handing over their people for slaughter.

“Our military has annihilated the invaders near Chornobaivka six times.

“Six times, yet they keep coming back.”

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Online users ridiculed the latest Russian failures and hailed the Ukrainian defiance, with one Reddit user remarking: “At some point, I think every military intelligence outfit looking at this must be wondering how bad the rot is in the Russian military.”

One user visavillem added: “So this is the 10th time. Are Russians trying to bait Ukrainians to waste ammo with some obsolete/broken equipment, or are they really so stupid, that they keep stepping on the same rake again and again?”

Another user on Reddit adfgqert posted: “The Ukrainian people have resolve and determination that is beyond what I think is normal.

“Beyond inspirational and they bring fighting for what they believe in to a new level for me.” 

This comes amid ongoing setbacks for Russian military forces in the south of the country.

Earlier this week, it was reported that Russia had withdrawn most of its helicopters from a strategic airport in Kherson, in southern Ukraine, according to satellite images.

Kherson has also been the site of several local protests against the occupying Russian soldiers.

The official said: “We can’t corroborate exactly who is in control of Kherson but the point is, it doesn’t appear to be as solidly in Russian control as it was before.

“That would make it very, very difficult for them to make any kind of ground movement on Odesa.

“That would be a significant development, no question about that, in terms of the southern part of the war.” 


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